À繫¿¬±¸ Á¦ ±Ç È£ (2017³â 5¿ù)
Asian Review of Financial Research, Vol., No..
pp.998~1034
pp.998~1034
Short-Term Momentums in the Commodity Futures Market
Jangkoo Kang Professor of Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
Kyung Yoon Kwon Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
Jaesun Yun Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
Unlike in equity markets, strong short-term momentum, instead of short-term reversal, is observed in commodity futures markets. Moreover, while long-term momentum in commodity futures markets is strongly correlated with momentum in the U.S. equity market, short-term momentum does not share any common momentum factor with the equity market. We set forth the hypothesis that liquidity provision of speculators may account for the short-term momentum in commodity futures markets, and provide the following empirical evidence for it. First, speculators are momentum traders while hedgers are contrarian in the short-run, both unwinding their positions after a few weeks. Second, liquidity supply factors predict short-term momentum returns, and the short-term momentum is stronger in nearby contracts than distant contracts.
Jangkoo Kang
Kyung Yoon Kwon
Jaesun Yun
Unlike in equity markets, strong short-term momentum, instead of short-term reversal, is observed in commodity futures markets. Moreover, while long-term momentum in commodity futures markets is strongly correlated with momentum in the U.S. equity market, short-term momentum does not share any common momentum factor with the equity market. We set forth the hypothesis that liquidity provision of speculators may account for the short-term momentum in commodity futures markets, and provide the following empirical evidence for it. First, speculators are momentum traders while hedgers are contrarian in the short-run, both unwinding their positions after a few weeks. Second, liquidity supply factors predict short-term momentum returns, and the short-term momentum is stronger in nearby contracts than distant contracts.